Genial/Quaest: maioria confia nas urnas, mas 43% ainda desconfiam
Publicado em 15 de fevereiro de 2026 às 17h07.
A pesquisa Genial/Quaest, divulgada neste domingo, 15, aponta que 53% dos brasileiros afirmam confiar nas urnas eletrônicas, enquanto 43% dizem não confiar no sistema de votação.
O levantamento foi realizado entre 5 e 9 de fevereiro de 2026, com 2.004 entrevistas presenciais em 120 municípios, com pessoas de 16 anos ou mais. O nível de confiança é de 95% e a margem de erro é de dois pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos.
Os resultados mostram variações por região. No Sul e no Centro-Oeste, há empate técnico entre os que confiam e os que desconfiam das urnas. No Nordeste, 59% declaram confiança no sistema, ante 37% que dizem não confiar. No Sudeste, 54% afirmam confiar, enquanto 42% demonstram desconfiança.
A percepção também varia de acordo com o posicionamento político. Entre eleitores que se identificam como bolsonaristas, 77% afirmam não confiar nas urnas. Entre os que se dizem de direita, mas não bolsonaristas, 65% declaram desconfiança, enquanto 30% dizem confiar.
Já entre eleitores de esquerda que não se consideram lulistas, 82% afirmam confiar no sistema eleitoral, contra 15% que dizem não confiar. Entre os lulistas, 78% demonstram confiança nas urnas, enquanto 20% afirmam não confiar.
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Source Quality
Source classification (primary/secondary/tertiary), named vs anonymous, expert credentials, variety
Summary
The article is based on a named primary source (the Genial/Quaest poll) with detailed methodology, but lacks direct quotes from individuals or experts.
Specific Findings from the Article (2)
"A pesquisa Genial/Quaest, divulgada neste domingo, 15, aponta que 53% dos brasileiros afirmam confiar nas urnas eletrônicas"
The article is primarily reporting on a specific, named poll as its main source.
Primary source"O levantamento foi realizado entre 5 e 9 de fevereiro de 2026, com 2.004 entrevistas presenciais em 120 municípios"
The poll methodology is clearly named and described.
Named sourcePerspective Balance
Acknowledgment of multiple viewpoints, counterarguments, and balanced presentation
Summary
The article presents data showing both trust and distrust in electronic voting machines across different political groups and regions, acknowledging multiple perspectives through statistics.
Specific Findings from the Article (4)
"53% dos brasileiros afirmam confiar nas urnas eletrônicas, enquanto 43% dizem não confiar"
Presents both sides of the issue through poll numbers.
Balance indicator"No Sul e no Centro-Oeste, há empate técnico entre os que confiam e os que desconfiam das urnas."
Highlights regional balance in perspectives.
Balance indicator"Entre eleitores que se identificam como bolsonaristas, 77% afirmam não confiar nas urnas."
Shows perspective from a specific political group.
Balance indicator"Já entre eleitores de esquerda que não se consideram lulistas, 82% afirmam confiar no sistema eleitoral"
Shows perspective from another political group.
Balance indicatorContextual Depth
Background information, statistics, comprehensiveness of coverage
Summary
Provides basic poll methodology and regional/political breakdowns, but lacks historical context about electronic voting machines in Brazil or deeper analysis of why trust levels vary.
Specific Findings from the Article (3)
"O nível de confiança é de 95% e a margem de erro é de dois pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos."
Provides statistical context for the poll's reliability.
Statistic"Os resultados mostram variações por região."
Acknowledges regional variations in the data.
Context indicator"A percepção também varia de acordo com o posicionamento político."
Acknowledges political variations in the data.
Context indicatorLanguage Neutrality
Absence of loaded, sensationalist, or politically biased language
Summary
The language is completely factual and neutral, reporting poll numbers without sensationalism or loaded terms.
Specific Findings from the Article (3)
"aponta que 53% dos brasileiros afirmam confiar nas urnas eletrônicas"
Neutral reporting of a statistic.
Neutral language"O levantamento foi realizado entre 5 e 9 de fevereiro de 2026"
Factual statement about methodology.
Neutral language"Entre eleitores que se identificam como bolsonaristas, 77% afirmam não confiar nas urnas."
Neutral description of a political group's response.
Neutral languageTransparency
Author attribution, dates, methodology disclosure, quote attribution
Summary
Clear attribution to the Genial/Quaest poll, detailed methodology, date, and author are present. Quotes are not used, so quote attribution is not applicable.
Specific Findings from the Article (2)
"Publicado em 15 de fevereiro de 2026 às 17h07."
Publication date and time are provided.
Date present"com 2.004 entrevistas presenciais em 120 municípios, com pessoas de 16 anos ou mais."
Detailed methodology of the poll is disclosed.
MethodologyLogical Coherence
Internal consistency of claims, absence of contradictions and unsupported causation
Summary
No logical inconsistencies detected. The article presents poll data consistently and the numbers add up appropriately across categories.
Logic Issues Detected
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Contradiction (high)
Conflicting values for 'the': 5 vs 2
"Heuristic: Values conflict between P1 and P2"
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Contradiction (high)
Conflicting values for 'the': 5 vs 95%
"Heuristic: Values conflict between P1 and P3"
-
Contradiction (high)
Conflicting values for 'the': 2 vs 95%
"Heuristic: Values conflict between P2 and P3"
-
Contradiction (high)
Conflicting values for 'among': 77% vs 65%
"Heuristic: Values conflict between P7 and P8"
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Contradiction (high)
Conflicting values for 'among': 65% vs 82%
"Heuristic: Values conflict between P8 and P9"
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Contradiction (high)
Conflicting values for 'among': 65% vs 78%
"Heuristic: Values conflict between P8 and P10"
Core Claims & Their Sources
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"53% of Brazilians trust electronic voting machines, while 43% do not."
Source: Genial/Quaest poll conducted Feb 5-9, 2026 with 2,004 interviews Primary
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"Trust levels vary significantly by region and political affiliation."
Source: Breakdown data from the same Genial/Quaest poll Primary
Logic Model Inspector
Inconsistencies FoundExtracted Propositions (10)
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P1
"The poll was conducted between February 5-9, 2026."
Factual In contradiction -
P2
"The sample size was 2,004 in-person interviews across 120 municipalities."
Factual In contradiction -
P3
"The confidence level is 95% with a margin of error of ±2 percentage points."
Factual In contradiction -
P4
"In the South and Central-West regions, there's a technical tie between those who trust and distrust voting machines."
Factual -
P5
"In the Northeast, 59% trust vs 37% distrust."
Factual -
P6
"In the Southeast, 54% trust vs 42% distrust."
Factual -
P7
"Among Bolsonaro supporters, 77% distrust voting machines."
Factual In contradiction -
P8
"Among right-wing non-Bolsonaro supporters, 65% distrust vs 30% trust."
Factual In contradiction -
P9
"Among left-wing non-Lula supporters, 82% trust vs 15% distrust."
Factual In contradiction -
P10
"Among Lula supporters, 78% trust vs 20% distrust."
Factual In contradiction
Claim Relationships Graph
Detected Contradictions (6)
View Formal Logic Representation
=== Propositions === P1 [factual]: The poll was conducted between February 5-9, 2026. P2 [factual]: The sample size was 2,004 in-person interviews across 120 municipalities. P3 [factual]: The confidence level is 95% with a margin of error of ±2 percentage points. P4 [factual]: In the South and Central-West regions, there's a technical tie between those who trust and distrust voting machines. P5 [factual]: In the Northeast, 59% trust vs 37% distrust. P6 [factual]: In the Southeast, 54% trust vs 42% distrust. P7 [factual]: Among Bolsonaro supporters, 77% distrust voting machines. P8 [factual]: Among right-wing non-Bolsonaro supporters, 65% distrust vs 30% trust. P9 [factual]: Among left-wing non-Lula supporters, 82% trust vs 15% distrust. P10 [factual]: Among Lula supporters, 78% trust vs 20% distrust. === Constraints === P1 contradicts P2 Note: Conflicting values for 'the': 5 vs 2 P1 contradicts P3 Note: Conflicting values for 'the': 5 vs 95% P2 contradicts P3 Note: Conflicting values for 'the': 2 vs 95% P7 contradicts P8 Note: Conflicting values for 'among': 77% vs 65% P8 contradicts P9 Note: Conflicting values for 'among': 65% vs 82% P8 contradicts P10 Note: Conflicting values for 'among': 65% vs 78% === Detected Contradictions === UNSAT: P1 AND P2 Proof: Heuristic: Values conflict between P1 and P2 UNSAT: P1 AND P3 Proof: Heuristic: Values conflict between P1 and P3 UNSAT: P2 AND P3 Proof: Heuristic: Values conflict between P2 and P3 UNSAT: P7 AND P8 Proof: Heuristic: Values conflict between P7 and P8 UNSAT: P8 AND P9 Proof: Heuristic: Values conflict between P8 and P9 UNSAT: P8 AND P10 Proof: Heuristic: Values conflict between P8 and P10