✓ verbatim from the press
Four in ten Brazilians (41%) say they perceive the presence of organized crime in their neighborhoods, according to a Datafolha survey released Sunday (10). The study, commissioned by the Brazilian Public Security Forum, interviewed 2,004 people aged 16 and over in 137 municipalities between March 9 and 10. The margin of error is two percentage points, with a 95% confidence level. ✓
Press quotes (2)
"Quarenta e um por cento dos brasileiros de 16 anos ou mais afirmaram notar a presença do crime organizado no bairro onde vivem"
"o levantamento ouviu de forma presencial 2.004 pessoas com 16 anos ou mais em 137 municípios do país em 9 e 10 de março deste ano. A margem de erro é de dois pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos, e o nível de confiança, 95%"
The percentage represents about 68.7 million people living alongside groups like factions and militias in their neighborhoods. The presence is higher in capitals (56%) and metropolitan regions (46%), but also affects the interior, where 34% of the population reports these groups' activities. Among those who perceive organized crime in their neighborhood, 43% classify the presence as "barely visible," 25% as "very visible," and 21% as "visible." ✓
Press quotes (2)
"A maior parte daqueles que disseram ver grupos criminosos no bairro onde moram se concentra nas capitais (56%) e nas regiões metropolitanas (46%)"
"Entre aqueles que disseram notar a presença do crime organizado, 43% afirmaram que ela é "pouco visível". A fatia que a classificou como "muito visível" atinge 25%. O grupo que a colocou como "visível" é de 21%"
The survey reveals that 61% of respondents who perceive criminal groups say they exercise "high" or "moderate" influence on local coexistence rules — about 42.2 million people. Consequences include fear of armed confrontation (81%), avoiding certain places (75%), and fearing family members' involvement with drug trafficking (71%). Additionally, 12.5% feel obligated to hire services indicated by organized crime. ✓
Press quotes (2)
"61,4% dos entrevistados (42,2 milhões de pessoas) afirmam que o crime organizado influencia muito ou moderadamente as decisões e as regras de convivência local"
"12,5% afirmaram se sentir obrigados a contratar serviços indicados pelo crime organizado em uma lista que inclui internet, energia ou abastecimento de água"
According to the Public Security Forum, the data reflects the territorial expansion of factions like PCC and Red Command, which operate in all 27 federal units and are hegemonic in 13 of them. The phenomenon accompanies the decentralization of organized crime, previously restricted to capitals and major centers. ✓
Press quotes (1)
"Ambas estão presentes em todas as 27 unidades da Federação e são hegemônicas em 13 delas"
Survey interviewed 2,004 people in 137 municipalities with margin of error of 2 percentage points
41% of Brazilians report organized crime presence in neighborhood
Covered by only some sources, or where the accounts diverge.
Covered by only some sources (1)
PCC is hegemonic in Mato Grosso do Sul, Minas Gerais, Paraná, Rondônia, Roraima, São Paulo and Piauí
Conflicting versions (1)
Survey date
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What is the exact date the Datafolha survey was conducted?
Why it's still unknown: Sources contradict: Folha mentions 'March 9 and 10 this year', G1 specifies 'March 9 and 10, 2026', and the official FBSP report has metadata indicating 2026 publication
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How does the 41% perception compare with objective crime incidence data by region?
Why it's still unknown: Cross-referenced analysis between perception and actual crime statistics was not widely reported by Brazilian press, although international data indicates significant regional variation
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What is the specific sampling and regional stratification methodology used?
Why it's still unknown: Complete methodological details were not disclosed by outlets, only basic information about sample size and margin of error
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How do the 41% compare with previous surveys on the same topic?
Why it's still unknown: While they mention a 2023 survey on factions and militias, there is no direct methodological comparison with the current 41%