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European Centre Forecasts Possible Super El Niño Between 2026 and 2027

2 sources · 14 Apr 2026 · Share coverage ·

Projections from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate the possibility of a super El Niño forming this year. The phenomenon could become the most intense in 140 years and lead the planet to new temperature records by 2027.

El Niño is characterized by an increase of at least 0.5°C in Pacific Ocean waters, while super El Niño is associated with warming above 2°C. The phenomenon could break the record of the 2015 El Niño, when Pacific temperatures reached 2.8°C above average.

1. What we know (9)

El Niño is characterized by an increase of at least 0.5°C in Pacific Ocean waters

2 sources IstoÉ JC

Super El Niño is associated with warming above 2°C

2 sources IstoÉ JC

2015 El Niño recorded Pacific temperatures 2.8°C above average

2 sources IstoÉ JC

In Brazil, El Niño causes drought in the Northeast and intense rainfall in the South

2 sources IstoÉ JC

Professor Paul Roundy from New York University confirmed risk of strongest El Niño in over a century

2 sources IstoÉ JC

Phenomenon could cause droughts in Central America, Central Africa, Australia, Indonesia and Philippines

2 sources IstoÉ JC

Forecast of torrential rains in Peru, Ecuador and other areas near the Equator

2 sources IstoÉ JC

2027 emerges as year with greatest potential to register new global heat records

2 sources IstoÉ JC

Global warming is altering El Niño phenomenon patterns

2 sources IstoÉ JC
2. Where coverage thins out (0)

Covered by only some sources, or where the accounts diverge.

No gaps or divergences found — sources converge.

3. What we don't know yet

No gaps declared — all sources converge on the material facts.

All sources

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