✓ verbatim from the press
Seventy percent of Brazilians see the relationship between the Lula government and the National Congress more as confrontational than collaborative, according to a Datafolha poll released this Sunday. Another 20% consider there is more cooperation than conflict, while 2% see neither confrontation nor collaboration and 8% don't know. ✓
Press quotes (2)
"A relação entre o governo Lula (PT) e o Congresso Nacional é vista por 70% da população como de mais confronto do que colaboração"
"Outros 20% veem mais cooperação do que embate, enquanto 2% afirmam não ver nem um, nem outro, e 8%, que não sabem"
The poll surveyed 2,004 people in 139 municipalities on May 12 and 13, 2026, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points. The survey was registered with the TSE under number BR-00290/2026, according to Folha de S.Paulo. ✓
Press quotes (1)
"O levantamento ouviu 2.004 pessoas em 139 municípios de todo o país, na terça-feira (12) e quarta-feira (13), e foi registrado no TSE (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) com o número BR-00290/2026"
The perception of confrontation finds support in official Senate data: Lula's third term shows the lowest approval rate for provisional measures in recent Brazilian history, at 15.87% in the first two years, compared to 47.44% under Bolsonaro, 58% under Temer, and over 80% in previous terms by Lula and Dilma. ✓
Press quotes (1)
"Considerando os dois primeiros anos do atual mandato, a aprovação sobe para 15,87%, mas permanece abaixo dos índices registrados no mesmo período por Jair Bolsonaro (2019-2020), com 47,44%; Michel Temer (20162018), com 58%"
Among those who perceive confrontation, 89% consider this negative for Brazil, while 10% see it as positive. In the minority group that identifies collaboration, 58% evaluate the relationship as positive and 38% as negative for the country. Most interviews occurred before the release of conversations between Flávio Bolsonaro and Daniel Vorcaro about film financing. ✓
Press quotes (2)
"Entre quem acha que há mais confronto do que colaboração entre o governo e o Congresso, 89% dizem que isso é negativo para o Brasil, e 10% consideram positivo"
"A maioria das entrevistas foi feita antes da revelação de conversas em que o senador Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) pede dinheiro a Daniel Vorcaro"
Datafolha poll registered with TSE using standard methodology: 2,004 respondents, 139 municipalities, 2 p.p. margin of error
Covered by only some sources, or where the accounts diverge.
Covered by only some sources (2)
Quantitative history of provisional measure approval by government, showing significant decline in Lula's third term
Sectoral evaluation of Lula government (best in fighting hunger, worst in public security)
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How does the 15.87% MP approval rate specifically compare with other legislative instruments of the current government?
Why it's still unknown: Available data focuses only on provisional measures, not covering ordinary bills, decrees or other government propositions
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What would be the strongest contrary reading of the 70% who see confrontation - sample bias, timing, or alternative interpretation of the data?
Why it's still unknown: None of the outlets presented critical methodological analysis or sources defending alternative interpretation of the poll results
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How do other polling institutes evaluate the Executive-Legislative relationship in the same period?
Why it's still unknown: Only Datafolha data was reported, without comparison to polls from other institutes for cross-validation