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Strong El Niño forecasted for winter, but climate model points to peak in November-January

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center issued a bulletin on June 11, 2026, forecasting a 63% probability of a very strong El Niño between November 2026 and January 2027, which would rank among the largest events since 1950

Reported by: Cpc

2 outlets didn't cover this

Agência Brasil JC

The Niño-3.4 index registered +0.7°C above average in the latest weekly measurement, and the forecast uses the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) composed of six distinct climate models

Reported by: Cpc Ncei

2 outlets didn't cover this

Agência Brasil JC

The Federal Government installed a permanent Situation Room coordinated by the Civil House, bringing together 13 ministries and various public agencies to continuously monitor climate scenarios

Reported by: Pt

3 outlets didn't cover this

Agência Brasil JC Cpc

5 sources · jornalista.ai

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